Every time I was overthinking and making my own predictions about oil prices, I traded my MRO shares poorly. Has it happened to you too? This stock is very interesting but also very risky.
I learned that doing research is a good thing, but not overthinking it. Now I try to react spontaneously. Some of my friends are appalled but in my case it turned out to be a good method.
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Being spontaneous never worked out for me, but good for you.